Thursday, May 11, 2017

Gematria Fail - Definition of Theory

I saw a proposed title for Hubbard's book. Something about turning conspiracy theory into conspiracy fact. That's a rather bold assertion. And highlights a flaw I brought up ages ago.


One meaning of the word theory is simply something is speculative of unproven. Anyone can have This kind if theory. That doesn't mean it's any good. Some theories are easily dismissible. I have a theory that caffeine activates cell metabolism and will make me grow. I theorize that Eskimos invented robots back in 1000 BC. I have a theory that if I keep writing letters to Jenna Coleman she'll have a change if heart and lift that pesky restraining order on me.


On purpose, one of those was very unscientific. The other two were. Because intentional, which is probably the case, or unintentionally theory is used in the Gematriverse to hijack the meaning of scientific theory, which requires adhering to the scientific method.
 It has numbers. Science has numbers. That must give it credibility, right?


I need to back up a step here. Yes. I've seen them mention the phrase 'conspiracy theory' multiple times. Even without the audacious book title of turning it into fact it is clear that the intent is to prove that this is a law instead of just a hypothesis. As a bona fide real scientist and having a science degree I have to object at the failure to meet the requirements of the scientific method.


Testing of real theories will allow duplicable and predictive results. FAIL. The only things predictive about Gematria are that something will happen and a bunch of morons will rush to their computers and start generating two and three digit numbers. Completely reactive instead of predictive. When someone does grow a pair and make a prediction it fails more often than not.


Assessing the results is unbiased. FAIL. The data is forced to meet the foregone conclusion. 113 =133...ah close enough.


To prove bias isn't an issue real theories are subject to peer review. Peer doesn't mean your buddies that are also biased. It means independent parties that try to test the theory. If it passes this scrutiny everyone does high fives and can brag that someone looking to make the theory fail, and they couldn't. Gematria FAIL. Critics are dismissed as trolls by ignoring it attacking. Real scientists go back to the drawing board. Or give up on their theory. Instead of going back to the drawing board Gematria creates a new way to force the foregone conclusion. Like the sudden appearance of reverse ordinal gematria.


Theories adapt when better information becomes available. We don't theorize that people get diseases because of being possessed by demons since we learned about bacteria and toxins and stuff. Gematria FAIL. I must be right. Shut up and go away.


No wonder entire research papers (by real scientists) have been devoted to the psychology of conspiracy theorists. It's difficult to believe so many people actually believe this stuff. I'm sure some genuinely do. There is also a fair number that know it's bullshit and have other reasons at the core for promoting it.

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