The regular SportsGematria recaps are a breath of fresh air for me, providing a convenient excuse to discuss a more relatable subject. I feel that it’s important to emphasize the psychological parts of the conspiracist mindset, but the average person would rather hear about the effects on the wallet than bother to understand something like the appeal to success logical fallacy.
Zach embraces the appeal to success aura he’s generated by a decade of misinformation. He always talks up (lies) about his previous track record. And he downplays some of his other not directly fibbing methods; more casual things lesser minds might not pick up on if they don’t have some guidance. So I’m just going to throw a little more gasoline on the dumpster fire that has been this NFL season.
But first let’s start out with the comments section of the current video. Midway through the season there were a significant number of comments from other sports gematria YouTube channels. That is, other grifters. Using virtually the same methods. Some may qualify as true believers, but I doubt it. If they really believe in the value of their predictions they’ve been getting high on their own hype and caught up in their own little LARPing world. This current video as of this writing is exclusively just people fed up with Zach and his marketing plan. That marketing plan is shameless self promotion, vacillating between claims of being correct all the time or at least rarely wrong, and backpedaling on getting called out for being wrong. And having it recorded. These commentators were simply playing the Shill Game. Trying to lure people to their channel. And the same bogus system is in place there. So at best you would lose less money over the long haul than you would on the current dumpster fire at Gematria Effect Sports. And as for these comments from the not another sports pick channel, let’s just say they aren’t happy. They haven’t stuck the landing yet and pieced together that all the conspiracy grifting content is bad news. But baby steps are better than no progress at all.
The second picture is the full recap of the season so far. The demographics of the viewers (I’ve researched this and I’m confident of my assessments) are a motley crew that can’t afford to lose $1500 on bad advice. And I don’t think any of them have actually wagered on all the games recorded here as officially being a pick. They’ve probably been picking and choosing, doing other more normal sports gambling themes. Like betting the game your favorite team is involved with, since you plan on watching the game. Or waiting until the Cowboys are picked by Zach to lose and plopping down a few bucks because you hate the Cowboys. As you should. Or letting your romantic partner pick from which team has the prettier logo in their opinion. What the target audience of the sports gematria scene doesn’t grasp is that these silly and unscientific methods will produce the same results over the long term. Does it really matter if you lose money with or without gematria?
The other picture is another one of those subtle things Zach has been capitalizing on, which I’ve called out years before. And it’s something non gematria grifters have done forever. When in doubt, with your magical system that isn’t really magical, and you’re avoiding picking against the point spread, pick the favorite. Visually and psychologically it’s better to have presented a win loss record of 4-1without mentioning that you picked the favorite in the 5 games with the biggest point spreads.
Lions (-400) +$25. You need to wager $400 to win $100. So if you bet $100 like SportsGematria always calculates you win $25 while risking losing $100. If you bet 5 games at (-400) and got one wrong you would break even. Except that you also have your monthly Patreon subscription. And that share of your smartphone plan. And lost time you’ll never get back.
Packers (+135) +$135. You wagered 100 on an underdog and win a bit more than your wager.
And that’s the only underdog pick in the entire list of picks for the week. Granted there are a few picks against the spread. This is a classic example of betting a lot of games, having a winning record for the week, and essentially breaking even. And that’s a good week. Hardly that impressive.
Even without point spreads, picking NFL games is tough. Two evenly matched teams would likely finish a 16 game set of playing just against each other at 8-8 or 9-7. You’re not improving your chances much on a paltry couple of bucks while flipping that coin 16 times. Remember, point spreads are designed to have approximately the same amount of money bet on both teams, not some kind of prediction on who the winner will be.
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