Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Know Your Grifter Logical Fallacies - The Argument From Incredulity

 Incredulity

AKA the argument from personal incredulity.  Just because you don’t believe something is not true, doesn’t mean it isn’t true.  For example, just because YOU don’t think climate change is a problem doesn’t mean it is not a problem.  On the other side of the coin, climate change does not give a damn what you think about it.  Although I’ve used a logical fallacy of assigning a human characteristic to a not human concept, there is no doubt this is true.

One of the goals of the conspiracy grifter is to hook in new audience members into the world, to get them to entire the rabbit hole.  Whether this is just a short term lark, long enough to throw away a couple of bucks on useless sports predictions or if you ending up devoting your life to the cause does not matter to them.  Let the math sort that out where statistics do that separation.

In theory, Zach could simply link an introductory video to have newcomers who want to understand the basics of A=1, B=2, etc…. And in theory that video could restate the best stories that by the math have separated themselves as having received more engagement.  Like Kobe Bryant and 9/11 material that has been quoted relentlessly and will continue to be.  And certainly the mountains of stories that fell flat won’t be mentioned.  But these videos tend to boring.  The subject matter of the basics is not that hard to grasp.  Why bother when your phone can open up any of many gematria calculators and let it do work on the wonderful new world you’ve uncovered.

What he is doing now, as in the past, is putting the introductory information at the start of a lot of videos based on current events.  Short enough that longer term viewers don’t get too annoyed at the delay on his less than fantastic set of weekly football picks.  Regardless of a video devoted to the basics or a prelude at the beginning of a bit of new material, the goal is the same.  Zach believes something.  Therefore, you are less than human if you do not share that belief.  You could fast forward and wait until the explosion when somebody calls him out for his many wrong picks.  Or, you could simply recognize is go to argument from personal incredulity hook - coincidences.

Kobe died blah, blah, blah, blah…how can that be a coincidence?  Look at how the 911 emergency number was created on blah, blah, blah…that can’t be a coincidence.  In addition to them not actually being anything but a coincidence for a lot of reasons, he’s trying to force his personal belief on what is a coincidence on to the newcomer.  For a group of people itching for a fight against the evil empire or their government, these people amazingly give up and accept a set of beliefs being forced on them without much of a fight.  Welcome to the cult.

And they receive ample evidence that coincidences, whether real and remarkable or completely imaginary, have little or no impact on their current sports picks.  People understand (incorrectly) that these Jesuit birthed not coincidences are important rituals, and when unleashed on their own have no impact on their success at predicting anything.  The only takeaway they get is a steady diet of everything being evil.  Which means that it’s time again for my semi regular reminder:

Based on how gematria is practiced, with all the ways to force numbers into other numbers, every single number is evil.  Based on gematria, every single person that is alive now, lived in the past or will ever live in the future is evil.  How can a system like that help you to decide who to pick to win on Monday Night Football?

The biggest two reasons for why the coincidences are imaginary are statistics and reporting after the fact.  There’s such a large database to work with regardless of the stated current topic, you can’t help but find some tiny number that matches.  And although the goal is to use this secret knowledge to predict, ALL of the best coincidence stories were created after the fact, with no actual predictions involved.

Just because you don’t believe something isn’t a coincidence doesn’t mean it is or is not a coincidence.  Coincidences don’t care if you believe in them or not.  Gematria’s greatest gift to the world - using the past to get people thinking about how that means to today’s events.  That’s as close to a prediction you’ll ever get.

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