Denim does an above average job of making things look like he predicted three baseball games. I can’t be sure if there is a deeper purpose to the blog, like setting up a pay to play format like Gematria Club. I can’t accuse without knowing the full frame of reference. I’m certainly allowed to point out how meaningless this is.
So what we have is a prediction - reported after the fact. Which doesn’t make it a prediction at all. If it was an actual prediction the blog post would have gone up before the games were played. His track record on that hasn’t been too good. A couple of posts detailing actual predicted winners ended at somewhere around 50%, I think a bit less. Which isn’t too good when flipping a coin produces the same results.
It seems like the winning ticket is proof that this was some bold prediction. Instead it demonstrates that as far as boldness goes there’s no big deal. As with all baseball games instead of a point spread the sports books handle the parity by adjusting the winnings based on the odds. The word EVEN shows that there’s no Red Sox -2 line on the game like you’d see in a football game. The real kicker is those minuses you see to the right. The way you read that -280 is that to win $1 on the Nationals game you need to bet $2.80. My research shows that the going rate for a minimum bet is $5. In the comments Denim does admit that they were not big wagers. It could have been as low as $5/$2.80=$1.79. Because nothing says you knew for sure a team was going to win when you’d need to risk something like $25 to cover the cost of a pack of cigarettes. If you win. In total with minimum bets the payoff is less than $9.
The ticket does not boldly present how much the wager is, which is a red flag even without commenting and admitting that your wagers were small. Anybody with medium intelligence and some basic training can produce the gematria to back up a prediction that’s not a prediction. A real prediction would be worded “Nationals WILL win 8/2 because WASHINGTON NATIONALS=82”. Which is actual gematria in the blog post. Since the Nationals are unlikely to win every August 2nd, especially since the schedule isn’t always going to have them playing a crap team like the Reds and pitching matchups vary greatly, then you’ve committed silly gematria and run the risk of being wrong half the time. All three of the picks were the favorite to win the game. Like we’ve never seen that before.
If you want to go full scam mode the betting stub con is one of the oldest tricks in the book. A decent recap is presented in The Mentalist episode, “The Red Ponies” which is entertaining, informative and has super hot Amanda Righetti starring in it. If you want to fake predict and produce a winning ticket you can invest the minimum amount of money and buy a set of tickets that covers every possible combination.
Teams A vs. Teams B - 3 games
A-A-A
A-A-B
A-B-A
A-B-B
B-B-B
B-A-A (Wake up sheeple!)
B-B-A
B-A-B
$40 (less the amount you win) isn’t too much to pop in to prove your point. That’s why not showing the amount of the wagers is important to show how much balls you actually had.
Next time, wait until your gematria proves a heavy underdog is going to win, bet a couple hundred or thousand dollars on it and DOCUMENT the proof ahead of time, or stop wasting our time with fake predictions.
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