Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Back To Picking On Jeopardy!

Not me. I love Jeopardy. The number manufacturing conglomerate is at it again. Since Jeopardy is the original topic that got me critical of this claptrap in the first place and it's mentioned how everyone should just pay attention more to their lives they would see these connections, it's time to explain to a casual observer how this works in the real world. (I gave up on Dan a long time ago...he's way too close minded to accept the empirical evidence contradicting him.




So let's start with the real math. If there were such a thing as 365 sided dice, rolling one 23 times (Google the birthday logic problem for details) odds are about, slightly better than, 50% that two or more rolls will match. Now get a special 90 sided gematridie (die is singular of dice), hell get 10 of them, they make great Christmas gifts. These have all the possible two digit numbers 10-99. If you roll this and have a truly random and unbiased data source like this after 12 rolls the odds are 50.5% that two of them will match.


This goes a long way to explaining how brutally easy it is to find so called connectivity in disparate events. It gets a bit trickier when you are looking for a *particular* two digit number. You have to roll the die a lot more than 12 times. There are three ways around this.


Trick #1, which is why we constantly get comments like, "not sure what this means right now, just documenting it for future reference.". You rolled the die a couple of weeks ago and 53 came up twice in 12 rolls. 53 came up once today in 12 rolls, so illogically this is now connected or "synched" to the previous data set.


Trick#2- You've already picked 53 as your magic number. So you keep rolling and rolling and rolling and don't stop until it comes up twice.   Dan obviously spends a lot if tme on this and I can easily picture him rolling the die hundreds of times a day.


Trick#3-Cheat and just change the roll to 53. Tired of rolling? 35 is pretty close, that counts. It just flipped a bit at the end and almost was on 53? Fuck it. Close enough. That counts.


We have two classic examples of blatant 53 manufacturing from the Jeopardy post yesterday.


Futurama episode with cigars equals George Burns equals John Denver also in Oh God! equals died at fifty three years old.
$23,801 won on Jeopardy equals 2381 equals 353rd prime number equals 53.


The gematridie is hardly unbiased or random. 23801 does not equal 2381. 2381 does not equal 353. 353 does not equal 53. At least in the real world.


No way Dan can ever understand this. But if I can teach an open mind to recognize the number aspect, the only illusion they have to hide behind remaining, then they don't have to worry about why wolverines are baying at the moon and 82 only means basketball and NT hockey. And do get me started about the Pi bullshit.


At least they can read the Mindless Freaks blog and get a lesson in the almost universal manner in which an apostrophe should be used or not used. So I guess that's something.


Sorry for the math. If you want a more light hearted bust, check out the previous post here.



No comments:

Post a Comment