Thursday, October 31, 2024

Know Your Grifter Tactics - Being Wrong and Being Proud of It




 I picked Simple Truth Television as a generic, “I’m not Zachary Hubbard” sports betting operation.  Being proud of being wrong, manifested in not removing all the old material that was wrong and taking the time to be wrong about multiple incompatible ideas so that at least something might hit as a win.

Now he definitely is not as abrasive as Zach, which might work to his disadvantage.  For example, Trump’s base of followers are notoriously unhinged and weird and it’s what elevates MAGA to actual cult status.  There’s so many things wrong to choose from and they do not care.  What they do care about and love is the angry ranting and open hatred.  For Arthur of Simple Truth, last I heard he was a taxi or Uber driver and the fake predictions on the internet for sports betting was just a side hustle.  Additionally, Simple Truth TV makes its way into the Sports Gematria recap videos as someone calling out Zach for his racist remarks; one of the leaders of the “I’m not Zach therefore my sports picks are good” logical fallacy crowd.

So what actually happened and is gone now was at least one short video declaring that it would be Mets and Yankees in the World Series.  

There is this older “clue” video indicating a Subway Series, but as the possibility grew less remote he got bolder.  That mimics Zach’s format really well, start of with clues.  Wait until the playoff teams are announced before going too crazy on actual predictions.  Then tweaking as the upsets happen and the final play is in the books.  So it was Mets/Yankees.  Then it was Dodgers/Yankees.  Then he rolled the dice and it was Dodgers sweeping in four.  Then it was the current video, boldly proclaiming “As predicted Dodgers win the World Series.”

One thing I’m certain of.  Even though it was a likely possibility, NOBODY in the gematria sports crowd predicted Dodgers winning the World Series in five games before the first pitch was thrown.  Always the post mortem analysis framed as genuine predictions.  A cheap parlor trick that has been going on before the internet.

Making multiple predictions and false claims and not caring that you’re wrong about them should influence people’s decision making process.  But instead they just dismiss what they want to not believe and latch on to the other echo chamber messaging that based on bias they liked.

Perhaps the marketing plan can incorporate this idea for the remainder of the football season:


The sports picks are equally bad no matter where you land.  So have a coupon for money off.  <sarcasm font>Because winning a gazillion dollars with a magical system that was discounted $10 makes all kinds of fucking sense.</sarcasm font>


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