Friday, April 12, 2024

The File Drawer Effect


The File Drawer Effect,  aka Publication Bias, disrupts proper scientific reporting.  If the results are a lot of nothing spectacular the researcher might be biased to avoid publishing the results.  If, however, the results are spectacular there’s a much better chance the publishing process would be completed and put out there for others to see.  The media helps with this bias by focusing on spectacular stories above business as usual activity.

A peer reviewed scientific study is good evidence.  Needless to say, much better evidence than somebody anecdotally claiming a voice in their head told them to check out what color of clothing the people were wearing in the background of a news story photo.  Even better is a meta-analysis which combines the results in multiple studies.  Statistically more powerful and more complete.  The good results, the bad results, the ho-hum results - all get lumped together and the bigger picture provides better results than the media reporting that some guy on his back porch in Virginia noticed he hadn’t seen a lantern fly all year.  Because the local news outlet has five extra minutes to fill and nothing better to do than a quickie human interest story.

Gematria stories are heavily publication biased.  With minimal training a decently smart person can get themselves to a point where it’s virtually impossible to have two randomly selected topics that you CANNOT find a match.  They just have to want to waste their time doing it, and as fun as that is to bust on gematria clowns it doesn’t get you through day to day life.  The minimal training to that point also includes the grifters having the benefit of tying together two randomly selected topics.


For example the Kobe Bryant death story is a worn out old draw.  Popular person, untimely death, and a few more interesting looking matches than normal.  The initial success of the story was touted as proof that gematria “works” to lure newcomers to the fold.  Publication bias of one hit, repeated ad nauseum.

Very few stories get that kind of clout associated with them.  In fact, the entire process of creating a new video is purposefully to execute publication bias.  A search, an undying quest, to find the magic numbers that mean “something” more than other numbers even though they end up all being evil.  ANTICHRIST = 121.  Running through the news stories typing in everything mentioned looking for 121.  If that’s your clique then anything that doesn’t produce your 121 or other Antichrist numbers doesn’t get published.

There was a famous sock puppet account on Twixter that posted every 56 they could find.  The main point is that in reduction SOCIETY OF JESUS=56.  Regular posts included an image something like this:

A cheap shot, looking like a gematria version of a meta-analysis.  Lookie see here, all these matches of 56!  Totally publication bias.  It doesn’t include the other three base ciphers where the phrases don’t equal 56.  It doesn’t include random words like MOTH=56 unless moths were somehow in the news story.  It sure as hell won’t include that HUBBARD=56, no self respecting sock puppet account would point out that gaping logical error.

Gematria true believers are encouraged to perform publication bias.  Typing away at their calculators, ignoring until they get that lucky hit and can maybe be the first to point out a match that nobody else did.  The process ends up being like this,

Guy’s name, nah…girl’s name 65…maybe…cause of death, not even close, …date today isn’t 6/5 or 5/6, nope…birthday bingo!  5/6…car they drove is 75 or 62, fuck that…

And then they make a publication biased decision on whether they have enough fake evidence to impress a Hubbard or Gematrinator or their favorite Qanon influencer to bother reporting without getting chastised for not using proper discernment.  If you’re not using publication bias, you aren’t doing gematria right.

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